BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 19 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (10-5) Overall Strength = 139.63
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Away L 131.93 10 24 1A 115 ( 5- 7) Northern Illinois -6.72 -7.28
2 09/07/2019 Home W 124.86 42 14 1B 125 ( 5- 7) Morehead St -13.79 * 41.79
3 09/14/2019 Away W 138.21 21 3 1B 90 ( 1- 11) Eastern Illinois -0.44 18.44
4 09/21/2019 Home W 143.18 40 27 1B 45 ( 4- 8) Northern Arizona 4.53 8.47
5 10/05/2019 Home L * 123.99 3 37 1B 1 ( 16- 0) North Dakota St -14.65 -19.35
6 10/12/2019 Away W * 156.53 21 7 1B 16 ( 7- 5) Southern Illinois 17.88 -3.88
7 10/19/2019 Away W * 134.23 28 14 1B 98 ( 1- 11) Western Illinois -4.42 18.42
8 10/26/2019 Home W * 144.79 24 7 1B 53 ( 5- 7) Indiana St 6.14 10.86
9 11/02/2019 Home L * 124.96 10 27 1B 11 ( 10- 5) Northern Iowa -13.69 -3.31
10 11/09/2019 Away W * 159.68 27 18 1B 5 ( 8- 5) South Dakota St 21.03 -12.03
11 11/16/2019 Home W * 123.44 17 12 1B 83 ( 1- 10) Missouri St -15.21 20.21
12 11/23/2019 Away L * 118.35 3 21 1B 34 ( 6- 6) Youngstown St -20.30 2.30
13 11/30/2019 Home W 150.67 24 6 1B 42 ( 9- 4) SE Missouri St 12.03 5.97
14 12/07/2019 Away W 148.79 24 14 1B 29 ( 9- 4) Central Arkansas 10.14 -0.14
15 12/14/2019 Away L * 156.10 3 9 1B 1 ( 16- 0) North Dakota St 17.46 -23.46
Averages 138.65 19.8 16.0
Best game: 159.68 = 9 point win over South Dakota St
Worst game: 118.35 = 18 point loss to Youngstown St
Team stdev: 13.82