BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 19 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (10-5) Overall Strength =  139.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L   131.93  10  24   1A 115 (  5-  7) Northern Illinois      -6.72     -7.28                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    W   124.86  42  14   1B 125 (  5-  7) Morehead St           -13.79 *   41.79                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    W   138.21  21   3   1B  90 (  1- 11) Eastern Illinois       -0.44     18.44                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    W   143.18  40  27   1B  45 (  4-  8) Northern Arizona        4.53      8.47                      
  5 10/05/2019 Home    L * 123.99   3  37   1B   1 ( 16-  0) North Dakota St       -14.65    -19.35                      
  6 10/12/2019 Away    W * 156.53  21   7   1B  16 (  7-  5) Southern Illinois      17.88     -3.88                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    W * 134.23  28  14   1B  98 (  1- 11) Western Illinois       -4.42     18.42                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    W * 144.79  24   7   1B  53 (  5-  7) Indiana St              6.14     10.86                      
  9 11/02/2019 Home    L * 124.96  10  27   1B  11 ( 10-  5) Northern Iowa         -13.69     -3.31                      
 10 11/09/2019 Away    W * 159.68  27  18   1B   5 (  8-  5) South Dakota St        21.03    -12.03                      
 11 11/16/2019 Home    W * 123.44  17  12   1B  83 (  1- 10) Missouri St           -15.21     20.21                      
 12 11/23/2019 Away    L * 118.35   3  21   1B  34 (  6-  6) Youngstown St         -20.30      2.30                      
 13 11/30/2019 Home    W   150.67  24   6   1B  42 (  9-  4) SE Missouri St         12.03      5.97                      
 14 12/07/2019 Away    W   148.79  24  14   1B  29 (  9-  4) Central Arkansas       10.14     -0.14                      
 15 12/14/2019 Away    L * 156.10   3   9   1B   1 ( 16-  0) North Dakota St        17.46    -23.46                      
      Averages             138.65  19.8 16.0

Best game:  159.68 = 9 point win over South Dakota St
Worst game: 118.35 = 18 point loss to Youngstown St
Team stdev:  13.82